Guinea-Bissau: Staff Report for the 2017 Article IV Consultation and Fourth Review Under the Extended Credit Facility Arrangement, and Financing Assurances Review—Informational Annex
Author:
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Search for other papers by International Monetary Fund. African Dept. in
Current site
Google Scholar
Close

2017 Article IV Consultation and Fourth Review Under the Extended Credit Facility Arrangement, and Financing Assurances Review-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Guinea-Bissau

Abstract

2017 Article IV Consultation and Fourth Review Under the Extended Credit Facility Arrangement, and Financing Assurances Review-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Guinea-Bissau

Fund Relations

(As of September 30, 2017,)

Membership Status

Joined: March 24, 1977; Article VIII

article image

Latest Financial Arrangements:

article image

Projected Payments to Fund 2/

(SDR Million; based on existing use of resources and present holdings of SDRs):

article image

Implementation of HIPC Initiative:

article image

Implementation of Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative (MDRI):

article image

Implementation of Post-Catastrophe Debt Relief (PCDR): Not Applicable

Safeguards Assessments:

The Central Bank of West African States (BCEAO) is a common central bank of the countries of the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAMU). The latest assessment of the BCEAO was completed on December 13, 2013. The assessment found that the bank continued to have a strong control environment and has, with the implementation of the 2010 Institutional Reform of the WAMU, enhanced its governance framework. Specifically, an audit committee was established to oversee the audit and financial reporting processes, transparency has increased with more timely publication of the audited financial statements, and the BCEAO was committed to IFRS implementation by end-2014. The assessment also identified some limitations in the external audit process and recommended that steps be taken to ensure the adequacy of the mechanism through selection of a second experienced audit firm to conduct joint audits. All recommendations from the assessment have been implemented.

Exchange System and Exchange Rate Arrangement

Guinea Bissau accepted the obligations of Article VIII, Sections 2, 3, and 4 with effect from January 1, 1997. It joined the WAEMU in 1997, and has no separate legal tender. The exchange system is free from multiple currency practices and exchange restrictions on the making of payments and transfers for current international transactions. Since January 1, 1999, the CFA franc has been pegged to the Euro at a fixed rate of € l = CFAF 655.957. On October 8, 2016, the rate of the CFA franc in terms of the SDR was CFAF 1009.95 = SDR 1. Effective January 1, 2007, the exchange arrangement of the WAEMU countries has been reclassified to the category of conventional pegged arrangement from the category of exchange arrangement with no separate legal tender. The new classification is based on the behavior of the common currency, whereas the previous classification was based on the lack of a separate legal tender. The new classification thus reflects only a definitional change, and is not based on a judgment that there has been a substantive change in the exchange regime or other policies of the currency union or its members.

Article IV Consultation

Guinea-Bissau is on the 24-month consultation cycle. The last Article IV consultation discussions with Guinea-Bissau were held in Bissau, April 23–May 5, 2015. The staff report was discussed by the Executive Board and the consultation was concluded on July 10, 2015.

Technical Assistance (2008–17)

article image
article image
article image

Resident Representative

The Resident Representative in Senegal also covered Guinea-Bissau from September 1997 through July 2007. The Resident Representative Office in Guinea-Bissau was reopened in June 2011 and Mr. Torrez was the Resident Representative until end-May 2015. Mr. Melhado assumed the Resident Representative position in August 2015.

Table 1.

Guinea-Bissau: Arrangements with the IMF, 1984–2017

article image

World Bank Group Relations

1. Guinea-Bissau joined the World Bank in 1977, three years after independence. The first operation was approved in 1979 for a road construction and restoration project. Since then, the International Development Association (IDA) has approved 43 projects for Guinea-Bissau amounting to about US$511 million. World Bank engagement in Guinea-Bissau for fiscal years 2015-2016 was based on a Country Engagement Note (CEN) approved in March 2015.

2. The World Bank Group’s Country Partnership framework for Guinea-Bissau, covering FY2018-21, is the first full country strategy since 1997. The focus areas of the CPF program are increased access to quality basic services and expanded economic opportunities and enhanced resilience to shocks. The selective focus is expected to increase the chances of supporting transformational changes within the country. Gender and governance will permeate each objective as cross-cutting themes. The CPF, approved by the WB Board on June 13, 2017, has five objectives (see table below).

article image

3. Given the political and institutional fragility, the WBG will address implementation challenges in innovative and strategic ways. First, it will focus on improving services and economic opportunities in areas outside the capital (rural areas and secondary cities), while solidifying existing WBG financed investments in the capital city, Bissau. Second, moving away from emergency support, WBG will seek to create incentives for change using result-based instruments to strengthen core-state sector functions, such as human resources (HR) policies, financial management, regulation and quality assurance. Third, it will also engage and empower communities and citizens to directly strengthen bottom-up demand and accountability mechanisms for better services. Finally, WBG will have a stronger in-country presence allowing for more effective WBG collaboration and development partner coordination, including with United Nations (UN) agencies.

4. Under IDA 18 (the 18th replenishment of International Development Association (IDA) resources for FY2018–21) the national allocation for Guinea-Bissau is more than double compared to IDA 17, with an estimated $87.5 million. The CPF also plans to make selective use of IDA18 facilities with a focus on the Regional Integration Window (RIW) and potentially the Private Sector Window (PSW), as well as expand resources through strategic trust funds and partnerships.

Lending Program

5. The current active World Bank portfolio totals US$275.00 million and is comprised of four national IDA operations for a net committed amount of US$90.61 million (of which US$28.43 million remain undisbursed), four regional IDA operations (US$181 million), and one trust fund operation (US$3.5 million). It is a relatively young portfolio with the average age for national project of three years and two years for regional project. In terms of sectoral focus, the portfolio mainly encompasses Energy and Water (49 percent), Telecom Infrastructure (17 percent), Social Protection and Labor (15 percent), Trade and Competitiveness (12.5 percent) and Governance (7.62 percent). The World Bank is also supporting non-lending technical assistance activities in Guinea-Bissau, including through a Public Expenditure Review (PER) and Public Expenditure Management and Financial Accountability Review (PEMFAR). The Bank released its first Systematic Country Diagnostic (SCD) report for Guinea Bissau in 2016.

6. IFC’s activities have focused on providing advisory services to support access to finance and to improving the investment climate, jointly with the World Bank, especially on enhancing the cashew-value chain. IFC has no investment exposure in Guinea-Bissau but is currently considering an agribusiness investment, which would be the first investment operation since 1997. MIGA has a single guarantee exposure in the telecommunications sector at US$9.1 million.

African Development Bank Group Relations

1. From the approval of the first project to the country in 1976, to May 2015, the African Development Bank (AfDB) had approved 50 operations for Guinea-Bissau, for a net commitment of UA 237.6 million (about CFAF 195.6 billion). 33.3 percent of these operations have been in the infrastructure sector, 26.4 percent for social, 22.9 percent in the multi-sector, 15.4 percent in agriculture and 2.0 in finance. As of September 2016, the active portfolio comprises nine ongoing national projects representing a total net amount of UA 40.37 million, and a disbursement rate of 23 percent.

Lending Program

2. During the period January 2008–April 2014, AfDB approved an interim HIPC debt release (US$17.48 million), a fragile State Facility grant (UA 2 million), a fish sector support grant (UA 2 million), a health sector grant (UA 6 million), an emergency support grant to cholera (US$500,000), an emergency support grant to cholera (US$ 999,750), a capacity building grant to public administration (UA 7.80 million), a technical assistance and capacity building grant to public administration (UA 0.66 million) and an emergency budget support to budgetary reforms (UA 5.7 million).

3. In May 2015, the AfDB approved a new budget support operation to the tune of UA 5 million (CFAF 4.1 million). The program is built around two components: (i) the strengthening of transparency, internal and external control of budget execution and the fight against corruption, and (ii) the strengthening of budget management. It has been complemented by the approval of an institutional support project of UA 5 million (CFAF 4.1 billion) targeting capacity building in public financial management as well as the strengthening of the justice sector.

4. In the non-governance sector, additional approvals in 2015 are an energy project to rehabilitate the electricity network of Bissau for UA 13.3 million (CFAF 10.9 billion), a contribution to the OMVG transmission line for UA 4.5 million (CFAF 3.7 billion). In September 2016, an emergency assistance to support Guinea-Bissau preparedness and response plan to fight the Zika virus outbreak for US$1 million has been approved and a UA 3.8 million (CFAF 3.2 billion) investment project in agriculture sector (rice value chains) is under preparation.

Non-Lending Program

5. In January 2015, the AfDB approved its 2015–19 country strategy and Country Portfolio Performance Assessment. The approved strategy is based on two pillars, namely (i) strengthening of governance and the foundations of the State; and (ii) development of infrastructure that will foster inclusive growth. A Regional Integration Strategy Paper for West Africa for 2011–15 was released in March 2011. Recent economic and sector studies include a review of the transport sector, the agriculture sector and a country gender profile released in 2015, as well as the preparation of policy papers on Public-Private-Partnerships and on the management of natural resources.

Statistical Issues

article image
article image

Guinea-Bissau: Table of Common Indicators Required for Surveillance

article image

Any reserve assets that are pledged or otherwise encumbered should be specified separately. Also, data should comprise short-term liabilities linked to a foreign currency but settled by other means as well as the notional values of financial derivatives to pay and to receive foreign currency, including those linked to a foreign currency but settled by other means.

Both market-based and officially determined, including discount rates, money market rates, rates on treasury bills, notes and bonds.

Foreign, domestic bank, and domestic nonbank financing.

The general government consists of the central government (budgetary funds, extra budgetary funds, and social security funds) and state and local governments.

Including currency and maturity composition.

Includes external gross financial asset and liability positions vis-à-vis nonresidents.

Daily (D), Weekly (W), Monthly (M), Quarterly (Q), Annually (A), Irregular (I); Not Available (NA)

1/

Formerly PRGF.

2/

When a member has overdue financial obligations outstanding for more than three months, the amount of such arrears will be shown in this section.

3/

Assistance committed under the original framework is expressed in net present value (NPV) terms at the completion point, and assistance committed under the enhanced framework is expressed in NPV terms at the decision point. Hence these two amounts cannot be added.

4/

Under the enhanced framework, an additional disbursement is made at the completion point corresponding to interest income earned on the amount committed at the decision point but not disbursed during the interim period.

5/

The MDRI provides 100 percent debt relief to eligible member countries that qualified for the assistance. Grant assistance from the MDRI Trust and HIPC resources provide debt relief to cover the full stock of debt owed to the Fund as of end-2004 that remains outstanding at the time the member qualifies for such debt relief.

  • Collapse
  • Expand