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Angola: 2024 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Angola
Author:
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
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Series:
IMF Staff Country Reports
Volume/Issue:
Volume 2025: Issue 062
Language:
English
Publication Date:
05 Mar 2025
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5089/9798229002851.002
ISBN:
9798229002851
ISSN:
1934-7685
Pages:
79
Keywords:
AFRITAC South; debt management effort; production capacity; inflation expectation; policy transmission; Credit; Inflation; Global; Africa
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The 2024 Article IV Consultation with Angola highlights that the economy recovered in 2024 as oil sector rebounded from its slump. High external debt service constrains development spending, while oil dependence represents a drag on sustainable growth. Inflation remains elevated, fueled by exchange rate depreciation, and import substitution measures that have restricted food supply. The recovery is facing short-term headwinds. Gross financing needs are relatively large, while financing from global and domestic markets remains expensive. In anticipation of the 2027 presidential elections, delays in key reforms and fiscal slippages beyond the baseline, could undermine growth and weigh on the fiscal outlook. A stronger-than-expected decline in oil prices would weaken the external and fiscal positions. On the upside, spillovers from the global monetary easing and higher than-assumed oil revenues could improve fiscal and growth outlook. The authorities’ cash and debt management efforts will help mitigate liquidity risks. Complementary efforts to re-enter external debt markets and develop the domestic debt market over the medium term will be crucial.
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Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
IMF Staff Country Reports
ISSN:
1934-7685
Publisher:
International Monetary Fund