Staff Discussion Notes (SDNs) showcase policy-related analysis and research being developed by IMF staff members and are published to elicit comments and to encourage debate.The views expressed in this Policy Discussion Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy.
Staff Discussion Notes (SDNs) showcase policy-related analysis and research being developed by IMF staff members and are published to elicit comments and to encourage debate.The views expressed in this Policy Discussion Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy.
Industrial policies (IPs) are increasingly implemented, necessitating a reassessment of their benefits and costs. This study examines their economic and geopolitical drivers and their impact on targeted sectors. While IPs yield moderate and uneven economic gains, they are more effective when addressing highly-distorted upstream sectors with suitable tools. Structural reforms generally offer greater benefits and strengthen the link between IPs and economic performance. However, IPs may lead to significant fiscal costs and unintended spillovers, potentially accelerating economic fragmentation. Therefore, careful management of IPs is crucial.